An earthquake typically sets off ruptures that ripple out from its underground origins. But on rare occasions, seismologists have observed quakes that reverse course, further shaking up areas that they passed through only seconds before. These “boomerang” earthquakes often occur in regions with complex fault systems. But a new study by MIT researchers predicts that such ricochet ruptures can occur even along simple faults.
The study, which appears today in the journal AGU Advances, reports that boomerang earthquakes can happen along a simple fault under several conditions: if the quake propagates out in just one direction, over a large enough distance, and if friction along the rupturing fault builds and subsides rapidly during the quake. Under these conditions, even a simple straight fault, like some segments of the San Andreas fault in California, could experience a boomerang quake.
These newly identified conditions are relatively common, suggesting that many earthquakes that have occurred along simple faults may have experienced a boomerang effect, or what scientists term “back-propagating fronts.”
“Our work suggests that these boomerang quakes may have been undetected in a number of cases,” says study author Yudong Sun, a graduate student in MIT’s Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences (EAPS). “We do think this behavior may be more common than we have seen so far in the seismic data.”
The new results could help scientists better assess future hazards in simple fault zones where boomerang quakes could potentially strike twice.
“In most cases, it would be impossible for a person to tell that an earthquake has propagated back just from the ground shaking, because ground motion is complex and affected by many factors,” says co-author Camilla Cattania, the Cecil and Ida Green Career Development Professor of Geophysics at MIT. “However, we know that shaking is amplified in the direction of rupture, and buildings would shake more in response. So there is a real effect in terms of the damage that results. That’s why understanding where these boomerang events could occur matters.”
Keep it simple
There have been a handful of instances where scientists have recorded seismic data suggesting that a quake reversed direction. In 2016, an earthquake in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean rippled eastward, and then seconds later richocheted back west. Similar return rumblers may have occurred in 2011 during the magnitude 9 earthquake in Tohoku, Japan, and in 2023 during the destructive magnitude 7.8 quake in Turkey and Syria, among others.
These events took place in various fault regions, from complex zones of multiple intersecting fault lines to regions with just a single, straight fault. While seismologists have assumed that such complex quakes would be more likely to occur in multifault systems, the rare examples along simple faults got Sun and Cattania wondering: Could an earthquake reverse course along a simple fault? And if so, what could cause such a bounce-back in a seemingly simple system?
“When you see this boomerang-like behavior, it is tempting to explain this in terms of some complexity in the Earth,” Cattania says. “For instance, there may be many faults that interact, with earthquakes jumping between fault segments, or fault surfaces with prominent kinks and bends. In many cases, this could explain back-propagating behavior. But what we found was, you could have a very simple fault and still get this complex behavior.”
Faulty friction
In their new study, the team looked to simulate an earthquake along a simple fault system. In geology, a fault is a crack or fracture that runs through the Earth’s crust. An earthquake begins when the stress between rocks on either side of the fault, suddenly decreases, and one side slides against the other, setting off seismic waves that rupture rocks all along the fault. This seismic activity, which initiates deep in the crust, can sometimes reach and shake up the surface.
Cattania and Sun used a computer model to represent the fundamental physics at play during an earthquake along a simple fault. In their model, they simulated the Earth’s crust as a simple elastic material, in which they embedded a single straight fault. They then simulated how the fault would exhibit an earthquake under different scenarios. For instance, the team varied the length of the fault and the location of the quake’s initation point below the surface, as well as whether the quake traveled in one versus two directions.
Over multiple simulations, they observed that only the unilateral quakes — those that traveled in one direction — exhibited a boomerang effect. Specifically, these quakes seemed to include a type that seismologists term “back-propagating” events, in which the rumbler splits at some point along the fault, partly continuing in the same direction and partly reversing back the way it came.
“When you look at a simulation, sometimes you don’t fully understand what causes a given behavior,” Cattania says. “So we developed mathematical models to understand it. And we went back and forth, to ultimately develop a simple theory that tells you should only see this back-propagation under these certain conditions.”
Those conditions, as the team’s new theory lays out, have to do with the friction along the fault. In standard earthquake physics, it’s generally understood that an earthquake is triggered when the stress built up between rocks on either side of a fault, is suddenly released. Rocks slide against each other in response, decreasing a fault’s friction. The reduction in fault friction creates a positive feedback that facilitates further sliding, sustaining the earthquake.
However, in their simulations, the team observed that when a quake travels along a fault in one direction, it can back-propagate when friction along the fault goes down, then up, and then down again.
“When the quake propagates in one direction, it produces a “breaking’’ effect that reduces the sliding velocity, increases friction, and allows only a narrow section of the fault to slide at a time,” Cattania says. “The region behind the quake, which stops sliding, can then rupture again, because it has accumulated more stress to slide again.”
The team found that, in addition to traveling in one direction and along a fault with changing friction, a boomerang is likely to occur if a quake has traveled over a large enough distance.
“This implies that large earthquakes are not simply ‘scaled-up’ versions of small earthquakes, but instead they have their own unique rupture behavior,” Sun says.
The team suspects that back-propagating quakes may be more common than scientists have thought, and they may occur along simple, straight faults, which are typically older than more complex fault systems.
“You shouldn’t only expect this complex behavior on a young, complex fault system. You can also see it on mature, simple faults,” Cattania says. “The key open question now is how often rupture reversals, or ‘boomerang’ earthquakes, occur in nature. Many observational studies so far have used methods that can’t detect back-propagating fronts. Our work motivates actively looking for them, to further advance our understanding of earthquake physics and ultimately mitigate seismic risk.”
de MIT News https://ift.tt/6XL034H
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